Showing posts with label 2011. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2011. Show all posts

Monday, 28 November 2011

Pakistan PM: No more "business as usual" with U.S.



ISLAMABAD (Reuters) - Pakistan's prime minister ruled out "business as usual" with the United States on Monday after a NATO attack killed 24 Pakistani soldiers and the army threatened to curtail cooperation over the war in Afghanistan.
Saturday's incident on Pakistan's border with Afghanistan has complicated U.S. attempts to ease a crisis in relations with Islamabad and stabilise the region before foreign combat troops leave Afghanistan.
"Business as usual will not be there," Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani told CNN when asked if ties with the United States would continue. "We have to have something bigger so as to satisfy my nation."
While the NATO strike has shifted attention from what critics say is Islamabad's failure to go after militants, Gilani's comments reflect the fury of Pakistan's government and military - and the pressure they face from their own people.
"You cannot win any war without the support of the masses," Gilani said. "We need the people with us."
The relationship, he said, would continue only if based on "mutual respect and mutual interest." Asked if Pakistan was receiving that respect, Gilani replied: "At the moment, not."
Gilani's comments cap a day of growing pressure from the Pakistani military, which threatened to reduce cooperation on peace efforts in Afghanistan.
"This could have serious consequences in the level and extent of our cooperation," military spokesman Major General Athar Abbas told Reuters.
Pakistan has a long history of ties to militant groups in Afghanistan so it is uniquely positioned to help bring about a peace settlement, a top foreign policy and security goal for the Obama administration.
Washington believes Islamabad can play a critical role in efforts to pacify Afghanistan before all NATO combat troops pull out in 2014 and it cannot afford to alienate its ally.
U.S. national security officials met at the White House on Monday to discuss Pakistan following the weekend incident, which prompted Pakistan to shut down NATO supply routes into Afghanistan in retaliation and which was the worst of its kind since Islamabad allied itself with Washington in 2001.
"We have been here before. But this time it's much more serious," said Farzana Sheikh, associate fellow of the Asia program at Chatham House in London.
"The government has taken a very stern view. It's not quite clear at this stage what more Pakistani authorities can do, apart from suspending supplies to NATO forces in Afghanistan."
The weekend attack was the latest perceived provocation by the United States, which infuriated and embarrassed Pakistan's powerful military in May with a unilateral special forces raid that killed al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden.
CHINA AND RUSSIA VOICE CONCERN
Adding a new element to tensions and giving a diplomatic boost to Islamabad, China said it was "deeply shocked" by the incident and expressed "strong concern for the victims and profound condolences for Pakistan.
Russia, seeking warmer relations with Pakistan as worry grows over the NATO troop pullout in Afghanistan, said it was "unacceptable" to violate the sovereignty of states even when hunting "terrorists."
U.S. State Department spokesman Mark Toner said Pakistan was rethinking whether to attend next week's conference on Afghanistan in Bonn, Germany, although Washington had not yet received any definitive decision from the Pakistanis.
"We understand that they are reconsidering," Toner told reporters. "We hope that they do in fact attend this conference because this is a conference about ... building a more stable and prosperous and peaceful Afghanistan and so that is very much in the interests of Pakistan."
On Saturday, NATO helicopters and fighter jets attacked two military outposts in northwest Pakistan, killing the 24 soldiers and wounding 13, the army said.
NATO described the killings as a "tragic, unintended incident." U.S. officials say a NATO investigation and a separate American one will seek to determine what happened. The U.S. investigation will provide initial findings by December 23, military officials said.
"It is very much in America's national security interest to maintain a cooperative relationship with Pakistan because we have shared interests in the fight against terrorism, and so we will continue to work on that relationship," White House spokesman Jay Carney told reporters.
A Western official and an Afghan security official who requested anonymity said NATO troops were responding to fire from across the border at the time of the incident.
Pakistan's military denied NATO forces had come under fire before launching the attack, saying the strike was unprovoked and reserving the right to retaliate.
Abbas, the military spokesman, said the attack lasted two hours despite warnings from Pakistani border posts.
"They were contacted through the local hotline and also there had been contacts through the director-general of military operations. But despite that, this continued," he said.
After a string of deadly incidents in the largely lawless and confusing border region, NATO and Pakistan set up the hotline that should allow them to communicate in case of confusion over targets and avoid "friendly fire."
Both the Western and Pakistani explanations are possibly correct: that a retaliatory attack by NATO troops took a tragic, mistaken turn in harsh terrain where differentiating friend from foe can be difficult.
An Afghan Taliban commander, Mullah Samiullah Rahmani, said the group had not been engaged in any fighting with NATO or Afghan forces in the area when the incident took place. But he added that Taliban fighters control several Afghan villages near the border with Pakistan.
A similar cross-border incident on September 30, 2010, which killed two Pakistani service personnel, led to the closure of one of NATO's supply routes through Pakistan for 10 days.
OBAMA EFFIGY Burnt
The main Pakistani association that delivers fuel to NATO forces in Afghanistan said it would not resume supplies soon in protest against the NATO strike.
In the Mohmand region, where the attack took place, hundreds of angry tribesmen yelled "Death to America." About 200 lawyers protested in Peshawar city, some burning an effigy of U.S. President Barack Obama.
Pakistani editorials were strident. "We have to send a clear and unequivocal message to NATO and America that our patience has run out. If even a single bullet of foreign forces crosses into our border, then two fires will be shot in retaliation," said one mass-circulation Urdu language paper.
Pakistan joined the U.S.-led war on militancy launched after al Qaeda's attacks on the United States on September 11, 2001, and has won billions of dollars in aid in return.
But the unstable, nuclear-armed country has often been described as an unreliable ally and the United States has resorted to controversial drone aircraft strikes against militants on Pakistani territory to pursue its aims.
U.S. Senator John McCain, a leading voice of Republicans on military issues, echoed frustration in Washington when he said the loss of life was "tragic" but that Pakistani intelligence still supported militants fueling violence in Afghanistan.
"Certain facts in Pakistan continue to complicate significantly the ability of coalition and Afghan forces to succeed in Afghanistan," he said.
(Additional reporting by Zeeshan Haider and Rebecca Conway in ISLAMABAD, Izaz Mohmand, Jibran Ahmad and Faris Ali in PESHAWAR, William Maclean in LONDON and Missy Ryan, Caren Bohan, Susan Cornwell and Arshad Mohammed in WASHINGTON; Writing by Michael Georgy; Editing by Eric Walsh)

Sunday, 27 November 2011

The Generational Divide That Will Define 2012



It’s well known that the U.S. is rife with political division: red vs. blue, the coasts vs. the interior, cities vs. rural areas, the 1% vs. the 99%. Less discussed is the yawning gap that has recently opened between young and old. America today is more politically divided by age than it has been in 40 years, according to a major new survey by the Pew Research Center.
TIME got an exclusive look at the poll, and in this week’s print issue, available online to subscribers, I have a story on its findings — specifically about the split that has developed between the so-called millennials, ages 30 and under, and the Silent Generation, ages 65 to 83. Testing a hypothetical matchup between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, Pew found that millennials prefer the President by 26 points, while Silent Generation members tilt to Romney by 10 points. It might seem intuitive that younger voters are more liberal. But in the 2000 and ’02 elections, the two groups voted almost identically. It wasn’t until 2006 and ’08 that a broad gap opened up — one that narrowed slightly in 2010, as young voters tacked right, but is now wider than it was even in ’08.
What happened here? To a large degree, it seems, the split represents two very different reactions to change in American life. Pew found that seniors are unhappy about trends like immigration and diversity, and gay and interracial marriage. In one of the survey’s most striking facts, fewer than half of them say the Internet has been a positive development. And few things provoked livelier replies from the many seniors interviewed in Florida for this story than the impact of technology on American life. “Kids are running amok!” one told me. Millennials, by contrast, barely even register the idea that the Web might do more harm than good: only 11% call it a change for the worse.
More relevant for the 2012 election, 30-and-under Americans largely embrace the social changes that their elders reject. Millennials are twice as likely as Silent Generation members to call increased interracial marriage a change for the better (60% to 29%), and the divide is almost as great when it comes to gay marriage (59% to 33%). They’re more accepting of a growing Hispanic and immigrant population — in part because today’s young Americans themselves are a reflection of diversity. Forty percent of Americans 30 and under are nonwhite, more than double the proportion of Americans over 65.
Pew’s numbers show that millennials are less satisfied than Silent Generation members with their finances (perhaps because most seniors don’t have to worry about finding a job). That suggests social views are playing a major role in the political divide. It may be that Obama has become a focal point for the two generations, who see him as a representation of the diversity and change about which they disagree. Pew’s president, Andrew Kohut, thinks this might explain the rightward tilt of Silent Generation members. “There is this sense that comes out of the poll that Obama represents the changing face of America that some older people are uncomfortable with.”
Ultimately, however, this doesn’t mean that the cake is baked. Neither party can count on either of these generations. Pew’s numbers support the picture of a youth vote that is disillusioned with Obama and disengaged from the political process, meaning that overwhelming support for Obama among millennials might not yield a turnout that compares to the 2008 youth vote. (It’s probably not a coincidence that Obama has begun to zero in on the youth vote, including efforts like his new student-debt relief plan.)
Democrats can be cheered, meanwhile, that Silent Generation members have no abiding love for the GOP. They express roughly equal disdain for both major parties, while saying they trust the GOP more to handle most issues — with one exception: Social Security. (Pew did not ask specifically about Medicare, but I suspect the same might apply.) That gives Democrats an opening to pry seniors away in 2012 with a sharp message based on the threat of GOP entitlement cuts, much as they did en route to winning a House special election in New York earlier this year.
Such tactics and messaging will obviously be crucial in 2012. But the picture that emerges from Pew’s survey is that the 2012 election will be about something more basic: the changing nature of American society, and which generation’s view of that change will carry the day.

Thursday, 24 November 2011

What You Missed While Not Watching the GOP National-Security Debate



0 minutes. They call it a campaign, but it’s really a reality-TV show with eight contestants who compete for nearly a year. Each week or so, they get on a stage and are prodded to attack each other, equivocate and regurgitate sound bites. Dreadful stuff. At the end, viewers vote for one winner, who gets to be the Republican nominee for President of the United States. Welcome to Episode 11. American democracy as cheesy prime-time programming. CNN’s National Security Debate in Washington, D.C.
1 minute. After a quick introduction by CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, we are lost in montage. Lots of images of war and dead Presidents. Voices from the past: A date that will live in infamy. Tear down this wall. Etc. Then the candidates get introduced, each with a sort of James Bond computer graphic that looks like an electronic onscreen dossier from Dr. Evil’s secret lab, if Dr. Evil’s secret lab was built in 1993.
3 minutes. Blitzer is back, delivering the requisite mumbo jumbo about Twitter and Facebook. He says tonight will be “unlike any debate so far in this presidential campaign.” This is what is known in the political/advertising business as “The Big Lie.” If you are selling belly-button lint, you might as well call it a mink coat. People will try to touch.
4 minutes. The candidates walk out onstage CNN-style, which means in a fashion designed to draw out the process as long as possible. Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman is perky, having traded his pink tie for a red tie. Minnesota Representative Michele Bachmann says, “Good to see you, Wolf,” as she passes him onstage. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich lumbers slowly. “Hey Wolf,” says former pizza-company executive Herman Cain. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney gets the loudest applause, but walks as if his back is in a brace. Texas Governor Rick Perry shoots Blitzer with his hand pistol. Texas Representative Ron Paul couldn’t care less. Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum looks like Woody from Toy Story.
6 minutes. The national anthem is sung by a guy from the Washington, D.C., production of Jersey Boys. His voice cracks at “rockets’ red glare.” If this were a more popular reality show, a British judge would follow the performance by telling the singer to jump in a lake because he sounds like a frog. If only.
8 minutes. Blitzer finally allows the candidates to stand behind their lecterns, and they all immediately start to scribble things on notepads. Except for Cain. He apparently doesn’t have any complex things he needs to remember. Blitzer prattles on a while longer. Then he asks the candidates for a brief introduction, like “I’m Wolf Blitzer, and yes, that’s my real name.”
10 minutes. Santorum goes first with a joke. “If you like what Barack Obama has done to our economy, you’ll love what he’s done to our national security.” High sarcasm. No one seems to get it. Paul says he is against “needless and unnecessary wars.” Perry introduces his wife Anita and talks about their 29 years of “wedded bliss.” Romney says, “I’m Mitt Romney, and yes, Wolf, that’s also my first name.” Except it isn’t. Romney’s first name is Willard. Typical. Facts be damned.
12 minutes. Cain declares that “our national security has indeed been downgraded,” as if it were an investment-grade bond. Gingrich says his dad was in the military and that at the age of 15 he “decided that national survival was worth a lifetime of study.” No doubt he was just as much of a showoff then. Bachmann praises the men and women in uniform overseas. Huntsman gives a quick bio, noting that he has two kids in the U.S. Navy.
14 minutes. Finally the first question. Should the Patriot Act get a long-term extension? Gingrich gives a long answer about why terrorists should be treated not as criminals but as enemies on the battlefield, without really answering the question.
15 minutes. Blitzer tries again. “Just to clarify, you wouldn’t change the Patriot Act?” Gingrich says, “No, I would not change it. I’m not aware of any specific change it needs. And I’d look at strengthening it.” Of course, strengthening would be a change, but no one notices this because Gingrich quickly follows by describing a nuclear bomb exploding in an American city. The image clears the mind.
16 minutes. Paul, of course, disagrees with Gingrich and says criminal law is a fine way to deal with terrorists.“Timothy McVeigh was a vicious terrorist,” he says. “He was arrested.” This is a bad example to choose, since McVeigh’s bombing of a building in Oklahoma City killed 168 people.
17 minutes. Gingrich pounces. “Timothy McVeigh succeeded. That’s the whole point,” he says. “I don’t want a law that says, After we lose a major American city, we’re sure going to come and find you. I want a law that says, You try to take out an American city, we’re going to stop you.” Score one for Gingrich. But Paul then one-ups Gingrich’s end-times imagery. “This is like saying that we need a policeman in every house, a camera in every house, because we want to prevent child beating and wife beating,” he says. “You can prevent crimes by becoming a police state.” They will have to agree to disagree.
18 minutes. Bachmann is asked if she is with Paul or Gingrich on the Patriot Act. “I’m with the American people, with the Constitution and with the job of the Commander in Chief as the No. 1 duty of the President of the United States,” she says. Bold. Meaningless. Then she attacks Obama. “Our CIA has no ability to have any form of interrogation for terrorists,” she says, which is not really true, since the CIA remains involved in interrogations, according to the most reputable press reports.
19 minutes. Huntsman is asked to state his Patriot Act position. He talks about the balancing act between liberty and security and the need to share information. Another non-answer.
21 minutes. Romney is asked to comment on TSA pat-downs at airports. “Violation of civil liberty or a necessity to ensure national security?” He doesn’t answer. Says there are ways to improve TSA and that Gingrich is right about the limits of criminal law.
22 minutes. Perry says he would disband TSA unions and extend the Patriot Act. Then he says the Obama Administration “has been an absolute failure when it comes to expending the dollars and supporting the CIA and the military intelligence around the world.” He offers no evidence for this, nor does he try to deal with the evidence against it, like the recent killing of Osama bin Laden.
23 minutes. Blitzer asks Santorum if he supports ethnic or religious profiling of passengers on planes, to pick out potential terrorists. “Obviously, Muslims would be, would be someone you’d look at, absolutely,” Santorum says. Then he adds, “as well as younger males.” No need to worry about alienating constituencies when you are polling at 2%.
25 minutes. Paul starts waving his arms in disbelief. “That’s digging a hole for ourselves. What if they look like Timothy McVeigh?” This is a better use of McVeigh as an example.
26 minutes. Cain is asked about religious profiling of Muslims at TSA. He says he supports “targeted identification.” Wolf asks, “What does that mean?” Cain says, “We can do targeted identification.” A Cain tautology. Blitzer tries again. Cain calls him “Blitz,” says he would let intelligence agencies figure out what he means. Then Cain apologizes. “I’m sorry, Blitz, I meant Wolf, O.K.?” says Cain. Make it your ringtone.
28 minutes. New question about whether the drone campaign should be expanded in Pakistan. Huntsman responds with lots of facts and fancy pronunciations. “You have not President Zardari in charge but General Kayani over the military, which also is responsible for ISI,” Huntsman says. He says he supports an expanded drone campaign.
30 minutes. Bachmann is asked if Pakistan should continue to receive U.S. aid. Bachmann says yes, because of the national-security interests there. Perry disagrees. “I understand where she’s coming from, but the bottom line is that they’ve showed us time after time that they can’t be trusted. And until Pakistan clearly shows that they have America’s best interests in mind, I would not send them one penny, period,” Perry says. Since Pakistan, which is riven by internal factions, has never done anything “clearly,” this suggests Perry is ready to cut off Pakistan. “To write a check to countries that are clearly not representing American interests is nonsensical,” he says. In this, he rejects pretty much the entire history of American foreign policy.
33 minutes. Bachmann says, “With all due respect to the governor, I think that’s highly naive.” It’s an understatement. Perry says he just wants to stop writing blank checks. Bachmann points out that the U.S. is not writing blank checks. Perry looks down at the podium. He has sound bites but is not ready to engage on substance.
36 minutes. Romney is asked about Afghanistan, and he basically embraces President Obama’s entire approach to the region. “Our effort there is to keep Afghanistan from becoming a launching point for terror against the United States. We can’t just write off a major part of the world.”
37 minutes. Huntsman says, “I totally disagree,” and then says that the U.S. does not need to be nation building in Afghanistan with 100,000 troops. Then some exciting tit-for-tat ensues. “Are you suggesting, Governor, that we just take all our troops out next week or what? What’s your proposal?” Romney asks. “Did you hear what I just said?” shoots back Huntsman. “I said we should draw down from 100,000. We don’t need 100,000 troops.” It is a memorable moment, because Romney has been playing the role of alpha dog at these debates, and Huntsman just barked back a bit.
38 minutes. Romney looks flustered and tries again to get behind the Obama policy. “I stand with the commanders in this regard and have no information that suggests that pulling our troops out faster than that would do anything but put at — at great peril the extraordinary sacrifice that’s been made.”
39 minutes. Huntsman attacks again. “At the end of the day, the President of the United States is Commander in Chief,” he says. “I also remember when people listened to the generals in 1967 and we heard a certain course of action in South Asia that didn’t serve our interests very well.” Huntsman was 7 years old in 1967. Romney tries to come back, but he has lost this round. For the first time in all the debates, Huntsman has gotten to him.
40 minutes. Blitzer tries to surprise Gingrich. He doesn’t even ask a question. He just says, “Speaker?” Gingrich responds with pseudo-academic throat clearing. “Well, Wolf, I’m a little confused about exactly what we’re currently debating, because I think — I think we tend to get down to these narrow questions that — that, in a sense, don’t get at the — at the core issues,” he says, before saying he would change the rules of engagement in Afghanistan and care less about the opinions of the Pakistanis.
42 minutes. Santorum then sides with Romney, but does it better than Romney did it. “You’re doing exactly what all of the radical leaders are saying that America will do, that we are not in this to win, we are going to play politics with this, and then we will find this problem in Afghanistan on our shores in a very short order,” Santorum says to Huntsman.
43 minutes. Blitzer interrupts, saying he wants to get to “Congressman Cain in a minute” but first has to take a commercial break. Sounds like retribution, since Cain, who is not a Congressman, called Blitzer “Blitz.” But the break comes before Cain can blitz Blitzer back. Say that 10 times fast.
47 minutes. We are back with a question from the audience, except there is no question from the audience. An awkward minute or so later, a questioner appears: “If Israel attacked Iran to prevent Tehran from getting nuclear weapons, would you help Israel launch the attack or support it otherwise?” Cain answers without any answer. “I would first make sure that they had a credible plan for success, clarity of mission and clarity of success. Remember, when you talk about attacking Iran, it is a very mountainous region.” Imagine President Cain on the phone with the Israeli Prime Minister. “We will attack at dawn,” says the Prime Minister. “Have you considered the mountains?” inquires President Cain.
49 minutes. Would Paul support a bombing of Iran? “No. I wouldn’t do that.” Saw that one coming.
51 minutes. Cain still talking about “the mountainous terrain in Iran.” Note to American enemies: If Cain wins the White House, take Switzerland first.
54 minutes. Perry is asked if he would support new sanctions against Iran. He sure would, especially against the Iranian Central Bank. Then Blitzer points out that sanctions against the Iranian Central Bank would stop most oil exports and deal a potentially crippling blow to an already weak European economy. Perry is not going to touch that one. So Gingrich goes. He says he would still support sanctions on the central bank, because the alternative is war, nuclear or otherwise. “I agree with all of that,” says Bachmann. “And energy independence is something that President Obama certainly has avoided.” Just follow the bouncing ball.
57 minutes. Paul Wolfowitz asks the next question, introducing himself as “a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute” and not “the former Defense Department official who testified that the U.S. could secure Iraq after Saddam’s fall without additional forces.” He asks if the candidates support continued funding to fight AIDS and malaria in Africa. Santorum says yes, noting that “Africa was a country on the brink. On the brink of complete meltdown and chaos” before the funding appeared. A country.
59 minutes. Cain is asked directly if he would support the current foreign-assistance programs for AIDS and malaria in Africa. “It depends upon priorities. Secondly, it depends upon looking at the program and asking the question, Has that aid been successful?” he says. By inserting the word secondlyin his answer, Cain gives the impression that he knows what he is talking about. But he has no idea.
60 minutes. Ron Paul? “I think all aid is worthless.”
61 minutes. Instead of dealing with the question, Romney goes on a rant about the defense budget being cut by Obama. “They’re cutting a trillion dollars out of the defense budget, which just happens to equal the trillion dollars we’re putting into Obamacare,” he says. This is doubly misleading. Obamacare is expected to save money over the first decade of its existence, not cost $1 trillion. And the defense cuts are still speculative.
62 minutes. Paul knows nonsense when he hears it. “Well, they’re not cutting anything out of anything. All this talk is just talk,” he says. If the debates could be killed, that last line would be written on their tombstone.
62 minutes. First Huntsman, now Paul. What’s going on? Romney may have missed his weekly testosterone shot. He tries to get back at Paul by rattling off numbers, but his numbers admit that most of the cuts he is speaking of are speculative. So for good measure, Romney says, “The right course in America is to stand up to Iran with crippling sanctions, indict Ahmadinejad for violating the Geneva — or the Genocide Convention.” Ahmadinejad has not committed genocide but has said he wants to get rid of the state of Israel and has denied the Holocaust. This is not the same as saying he wants to commit genocide. But why quibble over the details when discussing mass murder?
63 minutes. Newt gets a question about defense-budget cuts in a time of high deficits. He says he will try to cut the military, then pivots. “Let me make a deeper point,” he begins. Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy, imperial Japan, Lean Six Sigma, the Millennium Challenge and more oil drilling in the U.S. all get mentions. Hard now not to think of a 15-year-old Gingrich trying out this same act on a girl in the high school hallway.
66 minutes. Huntsman says everything has got to be on the table. Then he evokes the long-passed spirit of Sarah Palin. “It used to break my heart, sitting in Beijing, the second largest embassy in the world, looking at neighboring Afghanistan,” he says.
68 minutes. Perry is asked if he would compromise with Democrats to avoid budgetary gridlock when he becomes President. Perry doesn’t answer. Instead he calls Obama a failure in a few different ways and says Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta would “resign in protest” if he were “an honorable man.” So Perry just questioned the honor of the man in charge of U.S. armed forces in a time of war. We will see if that one pays off down the road.
71 minutes. Santorum gives a much more reasonable answer. He says that it is O.K. to compromise; it just depends on the details.
73 minutes. A new question gives Gingrich a chance to ring the Chilean Social Security reform bell. “I think you can have a series of entitlement reforms that, frankly, make most of this problem go away without going through the kind of austerity and pain that this city likes.” Haven’t mentioned this, but in many of Gingrich’s answers, he is speaking “frankly.” It’s like a tic.
76 minutes. Second break.
80 minutes. We’re back. Quick live shot of Tahrir Square in Cairo. The crowd at Constitution Hall has clearly been forced to stand and applaud as Blitzer says there will be more commercials.
83 minutes. We’re back. Immigration time. You know how it goes. Secure the borders, etc. Perry says he would do it, because he knows how to do it.
86 minutes. Paul sees a chance to say that the war on drugs is a “total failure.” “Why don’t we handle the drugs like we handle alcohol?” he says. “Alcohol is a deadly drug. What about — the real deadly drugs are the prescription drugs. They kill a lot more people than the illegal drugs.”
88 minutes. Cain says Mexico is in trouble and then offers a four-point plan to deal with it, none of which have anything to do with Mexico. He would — wait for it — secure the borders, enforce immigration laws, empower states and “promote the current path to citizenship.” Not clear what kind of promotion he has in mind. Bunting? Signage?
90 minutes. Another question with already-answered potential: What about highly skilled immigrants? Everyone onstage is in favor of attracting more highly skilled immigrants.
91 minutes. Blitzer interrupts the inanity with a direct question about the topic no one wants to talk about. What to do about the 11 million illegal immigrants already in the country? Gingrich says, “If you’re here — if you’ve come here recently, you have no ties to this country, you ought to go home. Period. If you’ve been here 25 years and you got three kids and two grandkids, you’ve been paying taxes and obeying the law, you belong to a local church, I don’t think we’re going to separate you from your family, uproot you forcefully and kick you out.” This is what will eventually happen. But it is generally verboten to discuss this publicly in the Republican Party. Gingrich is putting himself out there.
93 minutes. Bachmann pounces. “Well, I don’t agree that you would make 11 million workers legal, because that, in effect, is amnesty,” she says. “And I also don’t agree that you would give the DREAM Act on a federal level.” Gingrich struggles to explain himself but does not back down.
95 minutes. Romney pounces. “Look, amnesty is a magnet,” Romney says. It’s a good bumper-sticker answer. It’s one Romney has used before. It does not explain what Romney would do with the 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States.
97 minutes. Gingrich still holds his ground. “I’m prepared to take the heat for saying, Let’s be humane in enforcing the law without giving them citizenship but by finding a way to create legality so that they are not separated from their families,” he says.
98 minutes. Question gets pushed to Perry, who already stepped in this issue big-time a few debates back. He is cautious. But he still agrees with Gingrich and says there is a way to “keep those families together.”
100 minutes. Blitzer returns to Romney, who is now admitting that he might make an exception for those who have been in the U.S. for 25 years. “You would let them stay?” Blitzer asks. Here Romney reveals himself a bit. “I’m not going to start drawing lines here about who gets to stay and who gets to go,” says Romney. This is an admission that lines would be drawn. Romney is playing it safe. Clearly he does not want to say what he really thinks.
101 minutes. Commercial break. There is a reason other reality shows tend not to last this long. Or if they do, they involve people wearing much less clothing.
105 minutes. We’re back. Question about Syria. What are the U.S. interests? Would you support a no-fly zone? Cain has no real idea. He says he is against a no-fly zone but can’t say why. “The most effective tools that we have in any of these situations are a strong military, which it is getting weaker, unfortunately, and our own economic strength,” he says. Then he tries to pivot to a discussion of the domestic economy.
106 minutes. Perry came up with the idea for a no-fly zone, even though rebels in Syria are not being bombed from the air. He calls it “one of a multitude of sanctions and actions” he would support. Huntsman then weighs in, showing that he is basically the anti-Cain, in that he knows stuff about foreign policy. Paul talks about the threat from “the al-Qaeda,” which is redundant. Romney grabs an opportunity to attack Obama for just about everything. Then Romney points out that the Syrian regime is using not planes but tanks on its own people. “Maybe a no-drive zone,” Romney jokes, but he doesn’t support that either. Just sanctions.
114 minutes. Final questions. The candidates are asked to mention the foreign policy issue they are most concerned about that has not been talked about. Santorum says socialists and radical Islamists in Central America. Paul says more U.S. wars. Perry releases his talking points on “communist China.” Romney, always the safe one, says both China and Latin America. Cain says cyberattacks. Gingrich says cyber, nuclear or an electromagnetic pulse attack. Bachmann says homegrown radical Islam. Huntsman says he could say China, but the biggest problem is right here at home. “It’s called joblessness,” he says. “It’s called lack of opportunity. It’s called debt, that has become a national-security problem in this country. And it’s also called a trust deficit, a Congress that nobody believes in anymore, an Executive Branch that has no leadership, institutions of power that we no longer believe in.” True that.